Usable-Linseed
0x3e0a8847c74b98a0d865e24ae399604ddf67b9cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$144.2K
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$-5.0K
Win rate
76%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
50702 shares @ 87.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.9K
$-689.04
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
36664 shares @ 37.8¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$15.2K
$1.3K
- NO
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
5549 shares @ 93.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.5K
$317.99
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12438 shares @ 32.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.4K
$1.4K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
5000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$225.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
4675 shares @ 81.3¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.7K
$-131.34
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
3992 shares @ 91.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.7K
$6.95
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4011 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.5K
$91.90
- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
3468 shares @ 91.5¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$191.71
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
3353 shares @ 84.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$194.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.80May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.40May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.80May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.20May 18, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$0.52May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$0.58May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$5.56May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$7.47May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?$16.80May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$0.45May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$29.00May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$15.00May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?$16.96May 18, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMFC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$707.63May 18, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.80May 18, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$16.10May 18, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.05May 18, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$11.1KMay 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$1.36May 18, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$20.25May 18, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $259.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".