Messy-Adverb
0x3e165a4288192726d8ad929ccc8fad77b6ff138c
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$24.77
Total PnL
$-2.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.56
$0.56
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?$104.34May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?$74.92May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?$34.97May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?$285.76May 18, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.01May 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?$2.01May 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?$1.01May 17, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$1.02May 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?$500.02May 17, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5.00Feb 16, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5.00Feb 16, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$5.00Feb 16, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?$1.00Feb 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.00Feb 16, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.3KFeb 16, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.3KFeb 11, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$0.00Feb 11, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMNATO x Russia military clash in 2025?$5.75Feb 11, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$6.02Feb 11, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by October 3?$20.04Feb 11, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $185.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".