0x3e3d56773976bfb4b36fe16f28f7b15867b7bbfa
0x3e3d56773976bfb4b36fe16f28f7b15867b7bbfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
127
Open notional
$281.27
Total PnL
$4.30
Realised
$-0.66
Win rate
7%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.95
$0.41
- YES
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
6 shares @ 47.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.94
$3.12
- NO
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?
6 shares @ 94.9¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.61
$-0.07
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
5 shares @ 79.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.49
$1.11
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.37
$0.04
- YES
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
5 shares @ 88.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.36
$0.61
- NO
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.36
$0.02
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.33
$0.53
- NO
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
8 shares @ 80.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.16
$-0.92
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.08
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$1.81Apr 30, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?$0.00Apr 28, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.01Apr 23, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26?$2.97Apr 22, 17:07 UTC
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?$2.92Apr 21, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$9.43Apr 20, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.00Apr 18, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$15.00Apr 15, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?$0.00Apr 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$0.00Apr 14, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bárður á Steig Nielsen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?$1.48Apr 13, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$6.78Apr 13, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?$0.00Apr 13, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.13Apr 13, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?$0.00Apr 10, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$0.00Apr 10, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?$1.97Apr 9, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$2.96Apr 9, 00:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$2.87Apr 8, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 8, 01:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 04:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".