Reasonable-Tonality
0x3e940408e48f247fc09613c48c2636c34e5b79a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$430.59
Total PnL
$10.52
Realised
$4.34
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
75 shares @ 90.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$68.59
$0.72
- NO
Will Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.77
$0.40
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
70 shares @ 88.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$61.25
$-0.96
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?
50 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$49.85
$0.25
- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.82
$1.41
- NO
Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.60
$0.82
- NO
Will Lloyds fail by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 93.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.72
$1.33
- NO
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.55
$0.24
- NO
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 89.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.97
$0.92
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $49-$56 in June?
10 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.93
$0.17
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?$4.96May 17, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$4.93May 17, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?$4.97May 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-17?$4.96May 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?$4.05May 17, 04:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026?$2.67May 16, 22:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wells Fargo fail by June 30, 2026?$12.18May 15, 20:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?$9.00May 12, 02:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley fail by June 30, 2026?$23.09May 11, 01:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lloyds fail by June 30, 2026?$3.56May 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lloyds fail by June 30, 2026?$19.02May 10, 15:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $8.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".