Some-Defense-Focus
0x3ec5f901999719ae93a4b1101eeb1448bce5bfad
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$23.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
456 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$292.11
$9.20
- NO
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
160 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 22, 2026$149.78
$-1.84
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
141 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$134.91
$0.71
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
114 shares @ 95.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.16
$1.16
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$103.93
$3.93
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
100 shares @ 96.1¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.35
$1.25
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Qiang in 2026?
100 shares @ 94.5¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.25
$0.75
- NO
China coup attempt before 2027?
48 shares @ 92.1¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.82
$2.23
- NO
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?
45 shares @ 82.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.40
$5.46
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$38.28
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$38.07May 17, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$185.85May 17, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$37.70May 16, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$95.19May 16, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$19.04May 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 16, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$100.00May 16, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$87.55May 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?$4.76May 16, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?$0.01May 16, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$12.79May 16, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?$4.70May 16, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?$4.66May 16, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?$4.61May 16, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$595.24May 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$1.01May 15, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.09May 14, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.00May 14, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$0.99May 14, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$13.03May 11, 15:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $49.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".