Friendly-Cephalopod
0x3eccb67e467ab5cade77e17fe8b407450d691d30
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-764.95
Realised
$-18.74
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
470 shares @ 60.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$312.24
$26.22
- NO
Will "In the Grey" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
221 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 18, 2026$210.77
$29.22
- NO
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
260 shares @ 73.6¢·now 66.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$172.10
$-19.14
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1263 shares @ 33.4¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$158.46
$-263.37
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$127.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
99 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$97.76
$7.89
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
125 shares @ 74.4¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$85.00
$-7.95
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?
207 shares @ 30.4¢·now 34.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.53
$7.51
- YES
Will voter turnout be 51-54% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
345 shares @ 18.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$63.85
$0.21
- NO
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
72 shares @ 58.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$52.35
$10.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$600.00May 18, 04:11 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.77May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Is God Is" score at least 97 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.16May 17, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$93.00May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$93.00May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$60.58May 17, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$33.42May 17, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$94.00May 17, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$95.00May 17, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$95.00May 17, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$21.00May 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$59.30May 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Is God Is" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.73May 17, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$4.2KMay 17, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$4.1KMay 17, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31$4.84May 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31$5.53May 17, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLEvo Morales arrested by May 31$3.46May 17, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$907.57May 17, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins$707.99May 17, 04:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $142.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".