Tempting-Graffiti
0x3f1796822c53e6061abab0393b7923bb3ad06bc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
76
Open notional
$176.84
Total PnL
$-301.70
Realised
$-9.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 76- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
48 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$47.62
$7.62
- NO
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
50 shares @ 70.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$47.00
$12.00
- YES
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
40 shares @ 98.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 26, 2026$39.86
$-0.14
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$10.04
$0.04
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.00
$0.90
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40 shares @ 12.6¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.20
$2.20
- NO
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.42
$0.42
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.94
$-1.06
- YES
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
108 shares @ 9.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.89
$-6.11
- NO
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
1 shares @ 95.6¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$10.36May 17, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?$10.00May 14, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: April$12.50May 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$20.90May 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by April 30, 2026?$31.25May 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$34.56May 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$50.45May 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$1.19May 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$2.83May 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$5.81May 14, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$11.24May 14, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?$1.00May 12, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$2.00May 12, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 11, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$30.00May 9, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$10.00May 9, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$10.05May 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$5.08May 6, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$100.92May 4, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$2.12May 3, 04:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $17.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".