Ill-Formamide
0x3f8eaac485f2d2bcb58c5cd64edc9b48387d2077
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$153.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
1353 shares @ 85.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.4K
$193.54
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
500 shares @ 84.0¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$468.25
$48.25
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1115 shares @ 19.6¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$185.60
$-32.43
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
100 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$65.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
66 shares @ 85.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$53.69
$-2.65
- NO
Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$46.91
$-3.09
- NO
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$46.76
$-3.24
- NO
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
56 shares @ 87.9¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$45.44
$-3.56
- NO
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 83.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$43.29
$-6.71
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
30 shares @ 71.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$19.65
$-1.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$7.46Apr 30, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?$21.49Apr 30, 18:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $17.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".