Ignorant-Circumference
0x4001509c5be3e30b9e138ec05045a78c03dd5010
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$0.20
Total PnL
$-131.98
Realised
$-1.56
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?
5 shares @ 1.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.10
$0.03
- YES
Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?
5 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.05
$0.01
- YES
Will "La Brea: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?
11 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.04
$-0.01
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
5 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?
5 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 7?
1499 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
1108 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.26
- YES
Will "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
906 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 7?
830 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.09May 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$0.12May 18, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "La Brea: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?$0.04May 18, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?$0.04May 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$0.18May 15, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$0.07May 14, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?$0.03May 14, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?$0.10May 14, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$0.07May 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?$0.13May 14, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?$0.00May 13, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?$0.30May 13, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$0.25May 13, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$0.06May 13, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$0.03May 13, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$0.00May 13, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 5?$0.07May 3, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 5?$0.00May 3, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 5?$0.01May 3, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 5?$0.01May 3, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 03:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".