Old-Fashioned-Radiator
0x40053e5994ddd3a2334c2f4945548637986b4cd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$318.52
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
467 shares @ 63.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$235.91
$-59.68
- YES
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?
870 shares @ 23.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$82.61
$-117.39
- YES
Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
8926 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-493.65
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
2746 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-306.79
- YES
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1681 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
1429 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
OpenGradient FDV above $100M one day after launch?
703 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-189.48
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
277 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-39.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?$100.00Apr 18, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?$200.00Apr 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenGradient FDV above $100M one day after launch?$200.00Apr 18, 01:57 UTC
- REDEEMKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$14.00Mar 20, 05:03 UTC
- REWARD$0.83Mar 20, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$200.00Mar 19, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$500.00Mar 19, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.57Mar 19, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$597.42Mar 19, 06:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$184.42Mar 19, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$300.08Mar 19, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$435.63Mar 19, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$204.87Mar 19, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.26Mar 19, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$622.84Mar 19, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$49.97Mar 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$524.92Mar 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$190.00Mar 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$216.00Mar 19, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKatana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$483.83Mar 19, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $261.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 01:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".