Small-Contention
0x401cc7c0864e6ab459e99b3ddd46c89e5714dcab
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$648.80
Total PnL
$-18.16
Realised
$-2.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will BNB reach $900 in March?
340 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$340.34
$1.36
- NO
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
310 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$308.46
$5.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
580 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $122K July 28–August 3?
490 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?
470 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
440 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
381 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.08
- YES
Will Alejandro Tosti win the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?
260 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
7 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$1.32Mar 29, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$3.38Mar 28, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $900 in March?$338.98Mar 25, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$302.56Mar 22, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Gerard win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$0.48Mar 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.48Mar 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.98Mar 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$456.79Mar 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$458.16Mar 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Gerard win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$451.93Mar 12, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Gerard win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?$455.40Mar 12, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?$0.32Dec 12, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?$316.84Nov 29, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?$319.36Nov 29, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 November 24-30?$429.14Nov 29, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,300 November 24-30?$429.57Nov 29, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$1.74Nov 19, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?$2.35Nov 9, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?$99.60Oct 31, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?$99.60Oct 30, 14:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $168.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 10:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".