Ragged-Optimist
0x40274d8d5146dba19910d0818ff2fbf75fd61f6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$165.50
Realised
$48.55
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
1670 shares @ 65.9¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$93.11
- NO
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
986 shares @ 94.2¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$924.13
$-5.16
- NO
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?
855 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$812.25
$17.10
- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
800 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$783.59
$-1.20
- NO
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 76.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$405.00
$25.00
- NO
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch?
403 shares @ 98.8¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$391.89
$-6.77
- NO
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
267 shares @ 86.8¢·now 93.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$250.06
$18.23
- NO
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
314 shares @ 71.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$180.60
$-42.40
- NO
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?
186 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$155.83
$1.85
- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
101 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$100.91
$0.91
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$100.04May 15, 11:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $6B one day after launch?$1.90May 4, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $6B one day after launch?$2.77May 4, 02:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $4B one day after launch?$289.20May 3, 21:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $79.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 21:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".