Interesting-Cinnamon
0x402dc6ccf16c62d81172229590d3f903b2fa3dc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$227.94
Total PnL
$203.11
Realised
$263.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
34 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 18, 2026$33.83
$3.83
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.33
$0.33
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
33 shares @ 73.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.22
$-3.78
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
22 shares @ 91.2¢·now 90.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
16 shares @ 95.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.22
$0.22
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
16 shares @ 96.1¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.89
$-0.11
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
10 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.26
$1.01
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
18 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.74
$0.26
- YES
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.87
$-3.13
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.58
$0.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$30.96May 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$10.13May 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYKurds declare independence from Iran?$15.00May 15, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?$15.00May 15, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$30.00May 15, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$30.00May 15, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$20.00May 15, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$20.00May 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00May 15, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS civil war before 2027?$5.39May 15, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?$5.00May 15, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?$5.00May 14, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$5.62May 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$5.81May 13, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$5.00May 12, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$22.00May 12, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Gay" this week?$4.00May 11, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Oil" this week?$16.16May 6, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "AI" or "Intelligence" this week?$5.99May 5, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Pope" in May?$9.22May 5, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $9.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 01:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".