Direct-Mat
0x40416ec8233566b9e25cca160bba214b1cab6f52
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-453.87
Win rate
56%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$407.01
$3.17
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
1630 shares @ 21.2¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$285.19
$-60.09
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
931 shares @ 12.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$79.18
$-33.45
- YES
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5899 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$73.74
$-8.13
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$70.00
$-23.32
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5045 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$22.70
$-1.23
- YES
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
90 shares @ 33.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$20.61
$-8.96
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?
308 shares @ 10.8¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$18.46
$-14.81
- YES
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
7111 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$17.78
$-14.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$0.41May 18, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.40May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.39May 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$1.00May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.21May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.01May 18, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.84May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$6.78May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$24.35May 18, 01:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.04May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.84May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.13May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.15May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.80May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.80May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.28May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.30May 17, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.30May 17, 16:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".