Speedy-Cephalopod
0x404298b46e12dacdd0f19e5309310715c7efe886
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$48.55
Total PnL
$-183.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 19.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.40
$-9.60
- YES
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.76
$3.76
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$4.76
$2.76
- HORNETS
Suns vs. Hornets
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$4.26
$1.28
- PISTONS
Timberwolves vs. Pistons
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$3.88
$0.89
- 76ERS
Timberwolves vs. 76ers
3 shares @ 72.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.75
$0.76
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.60
$0.60
- TRAIL BLAZERS
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.52
$0.53
- THUNDER
Lakers vs. Thunder
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.52
$0.53
- YES
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-03?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$2.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$24.00Apr 12, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?$3.13Apr 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Heat$3.15Apr 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Grizzlies$3.25Apr 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Rockets$3.40Apr 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Magic$3.55Apr 2, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Warriors$6.80Apr 2, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?$86.00Apr 1, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?$2.00Apr 1, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?$2.00Apr 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?$1.00Apr 1, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.00Apr 1, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus win on 2026-03-30?$3.33Apr 1, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Grizzlies$3.40Apr 1, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMKHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo Minsk$3.42Apr 1, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Magic$3.42Apr 1, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $7.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".