Rusty-Omega
0x4043515804d05bb5f7568321f3e9d4fe372ee220
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$64.25
Total PnL
$-41.88
Realised
$0.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
317 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$26.45
$-0.79
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1958 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$16.64
$-24.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1380 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$11.73
$-11.73
- YES
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Burnley FC?
70 shares @ 14.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$9.43
$-0.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$24.38May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.98May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.57May 18, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$2.42May 18, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.99May 17, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Burnley FC?$10.26May 17, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.29May 17, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.67May 17, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.26May 17, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$10.20May 17, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$15.63May 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.24May 17, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.00May 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$5.34May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$2.12May 17, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$4.35May 17, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$14.46May 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$10.50May 16, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $10.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".