Vital-Mathematics
0x4044798f1d60d92369c86cf5b6f1e497e2818de5
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$148.30
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-111.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
600 shares @ 34.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.00
$-111.00
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.60
$-0.20
- NO
Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$7.70
$2.80
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
2085 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-280.99
- NO
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
1317 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-474.21
- YES
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
774 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-18.52
- NO
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
190 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-66.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$30.00May 9, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$1.8KMay 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$17.80Apr 25, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$2.13Apr 23, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$50.00Apr 23, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$66.00Apr 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$44.00Apr 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$143.39Apr 23, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$62.86Apr 23, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$13.75Apr 23, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?$154.09Apr 23, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$56.99Apr 23, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$12.63Apr 20, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$0.28Apr 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$0.33Apr 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$0.28Apr 20, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?$0.49Apr 20, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$18.52Apr 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$147.03Apr 19, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$87.74Apr 18, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $502.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".