Ill-Informed-Multimedia-Tweet
0x40563675c1f28ebededc5e103c9bdaeb0872546a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.50
Total PnL
$0.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.55
$0.55
- NO
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.30
$0.30
- NO
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
5 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.53
$-0.13
- YES
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$0.65May 18, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.00May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$1.04May 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$1.02May 17, 11:19 UTC
- SPLITWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.00May 15, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$1.01May 13, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".