Burdensome-Yurt
0x4061d582b67b5ad7ef07141ae3838dcae7d2f5eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-132.34
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1398 shares @ 72.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$915.69
$-90.87
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
341 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$341.00
$2.72
- CEARÁ SC
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
645 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$322.50
$0.00
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
598 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$188.37
$-14.95
- NO
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
149 shares @ 88.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$149.00
$17.28
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
461 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$50.71
$-32.27
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
38 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.15
$2.09
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
69 shares @ 19.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.32
$-1.79
- YES
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
2 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.05
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 2PM ET
1327 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-676.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$158.73Apr 27, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$144.30Apr 23, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$56.38Apr 21, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$554.76Apr 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$429.18Apr 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$387.78Apr 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$7.48Apr 21, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?$671.44Apr 21, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$220.59Apr 21, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$306.16Apr 21, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$299.28Apr 21, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$10.20Apr 21, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$20.40Apr 21, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$502.56Apr 13, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$504.00Apr 13, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?$587.51Apr 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$619.52Apr 13, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cardiff City FC win on 2026-03-28?$447.44Apr 13, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?$225.09Apr 13, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$808.57Apr 13, 15:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $356.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".