Optimal-Complaint
0x408ab76729d1239023d13ecd16ba6ec0a4bffb8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
68
Open notional
$96.56
Total PnL
$-616.36
Realised
$3.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 68- NO
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
61 shares @ 34.3¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.22
$25.36
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
46 shares @ 56.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$23.68
$-2.32
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
38 shares @ 52.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.73
$-13.27
- YES
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.96
$-1.04
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
44 shares @ 18.0¢·now 4.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.03
$-5.93
- YES
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
148 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-19.93
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$26.34May 17, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 17?$3.09May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 17?$3.08May 17, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?$6.28May 17, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?$9.05May 16, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?$1.03May 13, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?$1.05May 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?$4.11May 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 14?$2.08May 13, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 14?$4.13May 13, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 12?$8.16May 13, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 13?$5.12May 12, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 12?$4.10May 12, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 12?$1.05May 12, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$4.88May 12, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$65.22May 12, 17:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$2.06May 9, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?$1.04May 9, 18:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $7.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".