Gifted-Sprag
0x408d4310e84348859ecf1244487b0dbd5e7b8739
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$52.35
Total PnL
$-57.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
55 shares @ 36.5¢·now 72.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.95
$19.95
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
4542 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.81
$-13.19
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3729 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.59
$-14.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?
210 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.00Mar 1, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.00Mar 1, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.00Mar 1, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?$50.00Mar 1, 03:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $27.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".