Honest-Cufflink
0x40c2348351024cce5ba6fccd6015b77bbb77b2fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-549.99
Realised
$69.70
Win rate
63%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
78 shares @ 85.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$71.70
$5.36
- YES
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?
49 shares @ 62.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 18, 2026$49.36
$18.37
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
51 shares @ 84.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.78
$4.63
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
72 shares @ 60.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.40
$0.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 54.2¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$43.65
$-5.15
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$42.75
$0.75
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
40 shares @ 84.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$34.60
$1.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
44 shares @ 64.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.34
$5.94
- YES
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
180 shares @ 14.7¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$34.20
$7.70
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
30 shares @ 85.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.04
$3.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$1.39May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$7.12May 18, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$5.41May 18, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMFC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score$10.00May 18, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMFC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5$10.00May 18, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.00May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.07May 18, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$18.00May 18, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$2.20May 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$2.40May 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.30May 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.30May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$3.00May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$2.80May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$3.80May 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$0.72May 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLCavaliers vs. Pistons$6.88May 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$2.80May 18, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$4.10May 18, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$3.00May 18, 01:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".