Exotic-Prize
0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$98.7K
Total PnL
$8.3K
Realised
$6.7K
Win rate
77%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$34.0K
$11.5K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.0K
$-11.5K
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
15568 shares @ 27.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.9K
$3.6K
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
5560 shares @ 83.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.4K
$-291.38
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
5000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.3K
$25.00
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
4722 shares @ 57.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$1.3K
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
7000 shares @ 34.7¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.5K
$1.0K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
4000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$3.1K
$260.00
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
2751 shares @ 89.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.7K
$216.33
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
4500 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.0K
$-67.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$80.00May 18, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$160.00May 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$3.05May 18, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$3.05May 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$246.46May 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$213.11May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$637.21May 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$9.23May 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$23.65May 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$45.56May 18, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$178.60May 18, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$897.79May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$462.03May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?$5.56May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$295.79May 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$150.71May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$841.41May 18, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$51.59May 18, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$8.49May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$4.64May 18, 04:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $101.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".