Firm-Passenger
0x40de90aaf8e98bb7187b2320d5f14b75f4f766bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$815.21
Total PnL
$-442.83
Realised
$-33.60
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
460 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$456.59
$4.01
- YES
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
146 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$144.71
$-0.11
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
82 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp May 22, 2026$79.95
$-1.06
- NO
Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
78 shares @ 99.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$74.30
$-2.79
- YES
Lazio 53+ points in Serie A?
38 shares @ 86.5¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$23.84
$-8.90
- NO
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.94
$0.07
- NO
Will Khamenei post 45-49 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.93
$0.03
- NO
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 82.3¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.23
$-1.66
- YES
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
8 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$6.96
$-0.16
- YES
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
8 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.76
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$24.10May 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$23.30May 18, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$13.37May 18, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.03May 18, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.11May 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$16.36May 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.16May 18, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 0-19 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.75May 18, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$61.24May 18, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$38.03May 18, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$29.71May 18, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$9.90May 18, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$9.90May 18, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)$20.76May 18, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)$24.48May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 18?$0.23May 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on May 18?$1.06May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on May 18?$11.68May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on May 18?$2.94May 17, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 45-49 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$9.71May 17, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $24.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".