Fussy-Producer
0x40f1ca46f0fa82daa50d8a35c9c753c42c2015f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-65.4K
Realised
$-5.7K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
1255 shares @ 79.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.1K
$60.33
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
627 shares @ 66.6¢·now 95.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$595.84
$178.20
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
4378 shares @ 31.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$459.65
$-897.42
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
3036 shares @ 32.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$409.89
$-590.11
- YES
Will Iran strike UAE by April 30, 2026?
398 shares @ 88.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$397.87
$44.56
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
1959 shares @ 34.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$342.81
$-323.19
- YES
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
330 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$329.50
$187.81
- YES
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
703 shares @ 33.0¢·now 10.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.52
$-157.47
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
2669 shares @ 11.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.70
$-253.30
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
114 shares @ 30.6¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.79
$-24.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$100.56Apr 9, 03:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.50Apr 8, 01:01 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Apr 8, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$4.84Apr 8, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$186.19Apr 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$106.69Apr 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$730.00Apr 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$656.12Apr 7, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$2.1KApr 7, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$2.7KApr 7, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$121.50Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$183.34Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$71.20Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$71.20Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$145.07Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$145.07Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$183.34Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$183.34Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$107.69Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$107.69Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $413.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 03:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".