Flashy-Aunt
0x40fe57965a53d6efde2c678b8b442bb76c3a3bfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-303.28
Realised
$-70.08
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
4273 shares @ 59.3¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.7K
$180.49
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
1660 shares @ 54.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$971.23
$71.24
- YES
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
335 shares @ 89.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$313.39
$13.38
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
554 shares @ 41.5¢·now 35.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.77
$-36.24
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
742 shares @ 24.2¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.88
$-24.12
- YES
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
22815 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.30
$-342.28
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
114 shares @ 87.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.85
$5.85
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
297 shares @ 33.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$99.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?
121 shares @ 58.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$74.22
$4.22
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
62 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.93
$0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$12.13May 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.69May 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.85May 17, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.72May 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$0.70May 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.26May 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$0.79May 16, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.12May 16, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$301.26May 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$5.16May 15, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.87May 15, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$31.17May 13, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.91May 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.20May 13, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$26.18May 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.12May 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$20.20May 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$7.78May 12, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?$104.65May 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.67May 12, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $26.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".