Arid-Mood
0x41024ea9af7fbf1f0f5fac787b77f4c60a2a3e95
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-7.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will BGC Group (BGC) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump name "Elon" or "Musk" in April?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Darrell Jones win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.96May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Little Joe escape again?$3.88May 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Little Joe escape again?$4.00May 15, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthropic CEO arrested?$3.99May 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$4.00May 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.48May 14, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.48May 14, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.04May 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$1.04May 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLJones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?$5.89May 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYJones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?$5.90May 13, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump insult MBS by May 15?$5.00May 13, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump insult MBS by May 15?$5.00May 13, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 12, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 12, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.50May 12, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00May 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$0.98May 10, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?$1.18May 7, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?$1.23May 7, 22:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 17:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".