Marvelous-Earmuffs
0x410c6321bda428be6c778117b6103bf22cf4f7f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$369.71
Total PnL
$-820.58
Realised
$10.07
Win rate
73%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$162.70
$62.70
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
201 shares @ 49.4¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$37.49
$-61.74
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 73.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.56
$5.31
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 62.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.52
$6.87
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 79.2¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.38
$2.57
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 59.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$18.42
$4.12
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.30
$0.90
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 78.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.27
$0.30
- YES
USDC depeg by December 31?
465 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.96
$-4.65
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.42
$3.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$3.26May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship?$0.05May 17, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$2.40May 17, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$17.43May 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$19.77May 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$10.25May 17, 13:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?$48.80May 16, 23:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSDC depeg by December 31?$1.07May 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?$1.08May 13, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$1.12May 13, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$10.00May 13, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Job" 15+ times during April press conference?$12.17May 13, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$20.00May 13, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?$80.00May 13, 23:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $19.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".