Different-Waffle
0x4110ae59607b55a47d6f13d356e2dc4f90e01586
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$14.7K
Total PnL
$55.70
Realised
$-2.77
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8633 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.5K
$6.92
- NO
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?
2832 shares @ 94.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$89.19
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
1664 shares @ 92.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$3.80
- NO
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
810 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$796.63
$0.80
- NO
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?
265 shares @ 89.2¢·now 89.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$237.41
$1.20
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
249 shares @ 88.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$230.45
$10.06
- NO
Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
130 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$95.55
$-0.65
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
480 shares @ 13.8¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$87.12
$21.10
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
495 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$82.49
$3.88
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
127 shares @ 54.8¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$69.40
$-0.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$57.50May 18, 09:28 UTC
- YIELD$1.08May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.98May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.2KMay 16, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.0KMay 16, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$91.29May 16, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$46.74May 16, 19:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.96May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.87May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$932.60May 14, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$980.59May 14, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.57May 14, 18:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.85May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.85May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$94.76May 12, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$48.72May 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$16.61May 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$29.41May 12, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?$29.31May 12, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.84May 12, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $241.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".