Which-Dramaturge
0x411ade8db19dbc7ede2731f22ac54c5c8e515a86
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-959.98
Realised
$-4.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2555 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.5K
$-1.28
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
21684 shares @ 3.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$346.94
$-400.96
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
300 shares @ 91.7¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$280.05
$4.95
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
200 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$200.00
$3.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
188 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$178.88
$0.28
- YES
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?
9944 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$64.63
$24.86
- YES
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
2849 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$18.52
$4.27
- YES
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
9633 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-28.90
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
8500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-530.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.05May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$54.17May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$120.00May 15, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$120.00May 15, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$52.01May 15, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$414.55May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?$2.25May 15, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?$0.86May 15, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?$7.77May 15, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?$8.04May 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.01May 15, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.16May 15, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.21May 15, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.79May 15, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?$2.23May 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?$1.30May 15, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?$1.35May 15, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $17.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".