Recent-Carol
0x41434a0f1213df6bc13914f4c01605a0810dd67d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$223.75
Total PnL
$56.37
Realised
$14.47
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
200 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$199.90
$103.90
- NO
Will Oscar Diaz win Top Chef Season 23?
15 shares @ 69.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.68
$4.33
- NO
Will Starmer say "Goon" or "Gooner" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
10 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$8.30
$-0.20
- YES
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
580 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-10.73
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
380 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$96.00May 17, 03:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.19May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Goon" or "Gooner" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$8.55May 16, 23:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.30May 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.10May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$11.10May 16, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.00May 16, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$0.00May 16, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$0.00May 16, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$0.00May 16, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 16, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Marino win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$33.60May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$66.37May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$197.01May 16, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$1.68May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$2.53May 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$0.01May 16, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$0.87May 16, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$0.40May 16, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $23.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 12:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".