Bland-Plier
0x414881ccf17de46c6e5715831b5a19bfd6b6c0e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$13.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
393 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$363.76
$3.58
- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
336 shares @ 88.7¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$305.41
$7.85
- NO
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
274 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$253.49
$-0.77
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
146 shares @ 39.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.27
$-0.73
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
53 shares @ 94.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$53.10
$3.10
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
52 shares @ 95.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$51.77
$1.77
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
55 shares @ 90.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.41
$1.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
56 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.28
$0.28
- NO
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?
44 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.35
$1.55
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
29 shares @ 85.9¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$27.75
$3.01
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.27May 12, 23:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$50.24May 8, 03:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$50.00May 6, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.14May 6, 03:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 55 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.03May 5, 02:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? $50.10May 4, 21:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $8.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 03:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".