Bustling-Waiver
0x41579e4e10ec2ccd5e4ef0535b34690e99de2335
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$0.89
Total PnL
$-495.82
Realised
$-22.28
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- NO
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-1.11
- NO
Will Nick Shirley attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 7?
2196 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1?
1392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- BUTLER BULLDOGS
Providence Friars vs. Butler Bulldogs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- BULLS
Suns vs. Bulls: 1H Moneyline
970 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 7?
887 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
712 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 6?
557 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?$8.29Apr 16, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?$3.00Apr 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 9?$3.00Apr 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 9?$3.00Apr 8, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 10?$3.00Apr 8, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 10?$2.00Apr 8, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 10?$1.00Apr 8, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 8?$23.82Apr 8, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$2.00Apr 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5$2.00Apr 7, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$3.00Apr 7, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 2 FC Bayern München?$3.00Apr 7, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?$1.06Apr 7, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?$1.40Apr 7, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?$0.90Apr 7, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?$1.40Apr 7, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?$0.84Apr 7, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?$1.10Apr 7, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?$2.77Apr 7, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 8?$2.80Apr 7, 09:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 20:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".