Tough-Shade
0x4159cf2e07962a8a98f146f973ec289bb0956c30
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$44.11
Total PnL
$-265.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?
9288 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$32.51
$-4.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.25
$-13.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.35
$-0.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
30000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-184.32
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-32.97
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
100 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$1.42May 11, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$0.34May 11, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$0.84May 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$0.91May 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$0.87May 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$0.69May 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$0.01May 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$0.92May 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$2.43May 10, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$25.00May 5, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.08May 5, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.85May 5, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.07May 5, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$2.00May 5, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?$0.60May 4, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.00May 4, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$39.81May 4, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$0.70Apr 25, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$1.05Apr 25, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$1.00Apr 25, 08:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 03:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".