Exalted-Acetate
0x416a6065d8d27b615f249d81afe8ee9da8aaeb38
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$96.13
Total PnL
$-75.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
36 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$35.08
$0.16
- NO
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
35 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$35.00
$1.75
- NO
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
26 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$26.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
879 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.28
- YES
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?
16 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.93Feb 28, 00:01 UTC
- REWARD$5.12Feb 28, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?$34.92Feb 27, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$25.00Feb 27, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$33.25Feb 27, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$33.56Feb 27, 03:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.15Feb 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2026?$35.59Feb 24, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?$5.60Feb 24, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31?$17.60Feb 24, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.78Feb 24, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$2.73Feb 24, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$5.63Feb 24, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump say "Get out and vote" on Truth Social this week?$5.97Feb 24, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$9.57Feb 24, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.48Feb 24, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLFlying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?$11.44Feb 24, 03:47 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Feb 24, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.31Feb 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $2B one day after launch?$11.41Feb 20, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $17.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 12:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".