United-Larder
0x416b8dd22e63c7e73396ddff5aa46aef83e7bad6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$505.75
Realised
$2.39
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1750 shares @ 12.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.0K
$814.15
- YES
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
872 shares @ 69.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$579.72
$-29.74
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
600 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$351.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 12.7¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$272.25
$81.05
- YES
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
833 shares @ 24.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$258.33
$58.34
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 15.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$166.50
$11.80
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$83.50
$-16.15
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 7.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$41.25
$3.70
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.75
$-3.35
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "PAPER TIGER by James GRAY" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.34May 17, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "PAPER TIGER by James GRAY" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.10May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "PAPER TIGER by James GRAY" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.14May 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "PAPER TIGER by James GRAY" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.32May 17, 20:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.14May 16, 16:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$2.54May 15, 18:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$0.22May 12, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$1.67May 12, 10:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?$29.76May 7, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $35.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 13:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".