Political-Trachoma
0x41816fc1ebdfeb33f6356f2655ab499253b3de86
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$4.7K
Realised
$5.0K
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
12453 shares @ 9.2¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$10.29
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
5179 shares @ 9.6¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$802.76
$305.50
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
60508 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$756.36
$-672.91
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
9282 shares @ 7.7¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$705.42
$-9.82
- NO
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?
923 shares @ 15.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$604.27
$461.18
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
4810 shares @ 23.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$360.79
$-766.24
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1158 shares @ 22.2¢·now 30.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$358.33
$100.84
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
464 shares @ 63.1¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$313.20
$20.38
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
8112 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$304.21
$21.97
- NO
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
301 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$300.35
$6.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.98May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.06May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.61May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.95May 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.38May 18, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.47May 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.11May 18, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.33May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.96May 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.19May 18, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.30May 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.52May 18, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.07May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.30May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.63May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$4.00May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.48May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.31May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.19May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.77May 18, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".