Shameless-Brochure
0x419904d67b8dc942275d7a430486e807ad822dcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$465.80
Total PnL
$-58.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
250 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$220.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
110 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.70
$0.80
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 62.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.00
$1.00
- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.44
$-0.56
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$18.02
$8.02
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.61
$2.61
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.12
$1.12
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- NO
US x China Military clash before 2027?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$410.37May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front page headlines say "China" this week?$0.10May 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$4.30May 18, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$97.90May 17, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?$10.00May 16, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$88.00May 16, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$27.11May 16, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$17.89May 16, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 16, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$31.00May 16, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$92.29May 16, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Obama" during Bret Baier interview?$5.60May 15, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?$10.00May 15, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Witkoff attend Trump’s Xi summit?$10.00May 15, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.00May 15, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.00May 15, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.13May 15, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?$68.82May 15, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$119.99May 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$9.39May 15, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $29.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".