Stiff-Gemsbok
0x41a4605989f05da6dee59346dc51ed8673984d81
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$49.12
Total PnL
$-12.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.68
$-1.32
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$10.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
11 shares @ 55.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$9.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1 shares @ 89.6¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.69
$-0.31
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.24
$-0.76
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
19 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.59May 17, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$3.08May 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$4.06May 16, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$5.13May 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$20.00May 16, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.01May 16, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.05May 7, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 7, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$10.14May 7, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.04May 7, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$6.67May 7, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$1.02Apr 28, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$2.00Mar 23, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3.00Mar 23, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.00Mar 23, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?$0.00Mar 23, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.00Mar 23, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.00Mar 23, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Mar 9, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?$0.00Feb 19, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".