Wonderful-Disgust
0x4207c4f53b785c6d0d48512a497ebd845c29b81b
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
188
Open notional
$652.16
Total PnL
$-29.0K
Realised
$-16.4K
Win rate
16%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 95.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$380.60
$-1.60
- NO
Will 1 contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?
123 shares @ 62.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$105.26
$28.93
- NO
Will 2+ contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?
122 shares @ 53.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$97.98
$33.47
- NO
Will 0 contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?
125 shares @ 35.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$43.23
$-1.21
- YES
Will 0 contenders win the jackpot at The American Rodeo Championship Weekend 2026?
8 shares @ 15.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$5.21
$4.01
- YES
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
200 shares @ 16.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-28.83
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
208 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.74
$-37.80
- NO
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?
15 shares @ 17.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$2.70
$0.15
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$2.14
$-17.86
- NO
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.23May 18, 10:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.23May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.24May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$147.60May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$43.40May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$47.80May 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$143.40May 18, 01:35 UTC
- REWARD$1.39May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.17May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$0.87May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?$1.10May 17, 19:59 UTC
- CONVERSIONFed Decision in September?$99.99May 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$27.64May 17, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.28May 17, 03:35 UTC
- CONVERSIONEncore Medical IPO Closing Market Cap$5.00May 17, 03:34 UTC
- REWARD$1.30May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?$3.40May 16, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.30May 16, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.19May 16, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.01May 16, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $34.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".