Faithful-Thunderhead
0x4210a55de70f48a7eb6beef74886ec87dbc97e30
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.10
Total PnL
$-163.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on December 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C or higher on December 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 39°F or below on December 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 53°F or below on December 26?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Kevin Streelman win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
MANA eSports to win 0 maps?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Everton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$10.00May 11, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?$16.00May 11, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$100.00May 11, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$7.81Apr 6, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?$9.99Apr 6, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fátima Tardío win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?$23.10Apr 6, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?$50.00Apr 6, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?$5.23Mar 13, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMJohn Daghita arrested by March 31?$49.98Mar 13, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win between 70 and 79 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$50.00Mar 13, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$50.00Mar 13, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elissa Finley get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?$50.00Mar 13, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Catherine O'Hara win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$50.00Mar 2, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keri Russell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?$50.62Mar 2, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aitor Paredes record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$0.50Mar 2, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRiccardo Braschi: Anytime Goalscorer$0.50Mar 2, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santiago Hezze record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$0.50Mar 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon dip to $208 in March?$0.50Mar 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 66°F or higher on March 2?$0.50Mar 2, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix reach $368 in March?$0.00Mar 2, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $0.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".