Agonizing-Iron
0x425bcad7cd516541c5c8ccd85c9d19a75853b6c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-59.82
Realised
$-1.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3003 shares @ 50.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.4K
$855.86
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3003 shares @ 50.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$645.64
$-855.86
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$555.00
$55.00
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
587 shares @ 77.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$466.67
$14.68
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
502 shares @ 88.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$389.05
$-52.71
- NO
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?
152 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$131.69
$-0.76
- NO
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$98.95
$2.25
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.37May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027?$12.66May 16, 12:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.32May 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$25.48May 4, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$22.96May 4, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?$5.00May 4, 11:20 UTC
- SPLITWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$3.0KMay 4, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$300.00May 4, 03:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $116.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".