Naive-World
0x4271e4831a2f28daeb7c897009fb51eee8d6da24
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
2545 shares @ 82.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.4K
$279.91
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?
577 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$554.68
$12.69
- NO
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?
227 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$219.32
$19.32
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?
176 shares @ 85.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$156.21
$6.21
- NO
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
126 shares @ 79.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$114.12
$14.12
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
89 shares @ 84.5¢·now 93.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$83.35
$8.35
- NO
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
63 shares @ 63.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$46.96
$6.96
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
2114 shares @ 94.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$20.00May 17, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?$20.00May 11, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$1.5KMay 6, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?$542.00May 1, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$150.00May 1, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.0KMay 1, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?$100.00May 1, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$75.00May 1, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?$200.00May 1, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Borova by April 30?$105.33May 1, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$596.31May 1, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$731.86May 1, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$1.1KMay 1, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$3.6KMay 1, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$90.55Apr 24, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$90.55Apr 24, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$3.5KApr 16, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$500.00Apr 16, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$311.00Apr 16, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?$102.00Apr 16, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $523.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".