0x42b279b94eb8404095b0b1f9ffcd9038461c00c3
0x42b279b94eb8404095b0b1f9ffcd9038461c00c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.90
Total PnL
$-395.70
Realised
$-5.68
Win rate
32%
79 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
190 shares @ 0.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$2.98
- YES
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1060 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1060 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1060 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.16
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
999 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
999 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
999 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
999 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
999 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.95
- YES
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
999 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.82Apr 8, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.82Apr 8, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.82Apr 8, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.82Apr 8, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.82Apr 8, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be between 14m & 14.2m square kilometers?$1.28Apr 8, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.86Apr 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?$5.00Apr 8, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?$5.00Apr 8, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?$4.57Apr 6, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Mar 28, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.00Mar 28, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 28, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?$0.01Mar 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 18?$0.01Mar 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.01Mar 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$0.01Mar 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Mexico next?$0.01Mar 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.01Mar 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 18?$0.01Mar 28, 17:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 17:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 09:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 79 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".