Flawed-Meander
0x42b7601fea87e5b1ea958ffe47647945fabcabff
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$248.18
Total PnL
$-34.30
Realised
$3.19
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
214 shares @ 13.1¢·now 17.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$36.43
$8.38
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
26 shares @ 90.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$22.55
$-1.19
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.10
$0.75
- NO
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-05-07?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$19.39
$0.51
- NO
Will Independiente Medellín vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp May 8, 2026$16.70
$5.50
- NO
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.28
$-0.24
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?
13 shares @ 94.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.82
$0.21
- YES
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.60
$0.00
- YES
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
29 shares @ 75.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.19
$-12.35
- YES
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.51
$-2.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.36May 18, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$5.93May 18, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.11May 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11AM ET$1.11May 18, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?$5.27May 18, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.65May 18, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.12May 18, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?$4.62May 18, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 18?$13.81May 18, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$6.64May 18, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$3.79May 18, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 18?$4.63May 18, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 18?$10.28May 18, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.45May 18, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$1.11May 18, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$5.10May 18, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.84May 18, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.63May 18, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$11.20May 18, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$4.89May 18, 11:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $5.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 21:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".