Identical-Sage
0x42dfe34425076792ed0528efb7a32c84e948b671
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$471.82
Total PnL
$11.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
350 shares @ 40.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.25
$19.25
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
557 shares @ 17.9¢·now 24.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$136.15
$36.15
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
417 shares @ 24.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$106.25
$6.25
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?
840 shares @ 11.9¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$70.17
$-29.83
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
513 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$103.52May 16, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$103.28May 16, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?$103.80May 16, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$101.46May 16, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$177.14Apr 4, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 30, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?$140.00Mar 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$60.00Mar 28, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$200.00Mar 28, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?$400.00Mar 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$200.00Mar 28, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,800-2,900 at the end of 2025?$4.66Aug 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?$6.36Aug 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,900-3,000 at the end of 2025?$8.58Aug 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,600-2,700 at the end of 2025?$8.03Aug 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2025?$10.10Aug 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$30.20Aug 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$236.39Jul 24, 05:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$6.04Jul 23, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$6.60Jul 23, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $44.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".