Bewitched-Optimist
0x42e53bec12a00ca43156031079a3f049d54b5ade
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$329.05
Total PnL
$-552.53
Realised
$32.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
64 shares @ 78.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.09
$6.09
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
39 shares @ 76.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.95
$7.95
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$35.62
$15.62
- NO
Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in May?
31 shares @ 81.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$27.70
$2.70
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
26 shares @ 76.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$24.34
$4.34
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
95 shares @ 21.1¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$23.97
$3.97
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
65 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$20.65
$0.65
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$18.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.65
$-12.35
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.59
$7.59
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.20May 15, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$14.20May 15, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$16.67May 15, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$5.25May 15, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 15, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$20.26May 15, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$3.14May 15, 07:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$8.63May 14, 13:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.39May 13, 03:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$10.30May 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.16May 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.08May 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.12May 11, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $14.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".