Bumpy-Doughnut
0x430fb4135e5b942a1640ab250d96db3c70235c08
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$339.76
Total PnL
$-447.26
Realised
$-50.38
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
302 shares @ 29.6¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.19
$2.79
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
150 shares @ 46.1¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$57.75
$-11.35
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
86 shares @ 58.4¢·now 60.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.05
$2.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 24.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.90
$-1.40
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
93 shares @ 26.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.02
$-4.83
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
93 shares @ 19.8¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.10
$-0.32
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
380 shares @ 8.3¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.10
$-14.30
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
127 shares @ 12.3¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.25
$-0.42
- YES
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
1017 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.68
$-5.24
- YES
Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
94 shares @ 20.4¢·now 10.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.44
$-9.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.17May 16, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.08May 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.10May 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.13May 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.93May 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$1.63May 11, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.86May 10, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?$0.17May 7, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?$24.71May 4, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$19.76May 4, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.09May 4, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.21May 4, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$2.25May 4, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$8.18May 4, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$37.24May 4, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.36May 4, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?$30.00May 1, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$135.30Apr 30, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$132.63Apr 30, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner$9.00Apr 29, 09:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".