Silver-Laptop
0x434612ae5894cf43ef23b6ae6211838c7a1d2241
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-252.00
Win rate
22%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
794 shares @ 86.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$780.50
$96.87
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
486 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$485.76
$0.24
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
751 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$375.50
$-7.51
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
285 shares @ 64.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$195.22
$11.41
- YES
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?
174 shares @ 27.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$66.99
$20.01
- NO
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
65 shares @ 94.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.76
$1.22
- YES
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
146 shares @ 50.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$48.18
$-24.82
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.00
$1.56
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
4 shares @ 93.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.71
$-0.02
- NO
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
2 shares @ 77.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.94
$0.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$51.04Apr 27, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$17.12Apr 27, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$76.68Apr 24, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$70.98Apr 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$175.98Apr 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$2.25Apr 12, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?$569.56Apr 12, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?$657.94Apr 12, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$683.63Apr 12, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$46.98Apr 12, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$89.32Apr 12, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$41.69Apr 12, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$267.20Apr 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$255.13Apr 11, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$441.36Apr 11, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$192.00Apr 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$92.40Apr 11, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$271.25Apr 11, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$514.92Apr 10, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$201.25Apr 10, 02:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $280.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 07:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".