0x434cfdd8330aadcd7ba15a52f8e5f8372b2f88b6
0x434cfdd8330aadcd7ba15a52f8e5f8372b2f88b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$183.08
Total PnL
$-135.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$22.79
$-0.05
- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$22.50
$-0.34
- NO
Will VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
22 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$22.11
$0.64
- KK STUDENTSKI CENTAR
KK Studentski Centar vs. Mega Mozzart
22 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$22.02
$-0.21
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 95.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$21.86
$-0.98
- NO
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$21.75
$-1.09
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.7¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$21.41
$-1.43
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 90.3¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$20.63
$-2.21
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
23 shares @ 99.8¢·now 35.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$8.01
$-14.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET
39 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-24.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$21.51May 16, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 11 2026?$21.33May 15, 22:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?$21.30May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 11 2026?$21.32May 15, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?$21.28May 15, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$21.22May 15, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?$21.10May 14, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$21.09May 13, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?$21.09May 12, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMGames Total: O/U 2.5$21.11May 12, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$21.10May 11, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$20.96May 9, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$20.74May 8, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMEl Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC: O/U 3.5$21.19May 8, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$20.64May 8, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?$21.17May 8, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEl Mokawloon El Arab SC vs. El Gouna SC: O/U 3.5$21.14May 8, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the April 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?$21.12May 7, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMDoorDash total orders above 1B in Q1?$21.00May 7, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$20.95May 6, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $21.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".